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Cowboys over/under: CeeDee Lamb threatens receiving yards record in 2024

Dallas Cowboys v Miami Dolphins
Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images

CeeDee Lamb has asserted himself amongst the NFLs best WRs already, but could he make history in 2024?

CeeDee Lamb is one of the game's brightest young stars. The former Oklahoma Sooner standout arrived in Dallas and has continued to progress every year. He is setting up a career with a chance to rival the greats that came before him.

While this offseason hasn’t been fun as he and his representatives wait for a much-deserved new deal, the excitement around Lamb and his fourth season in the NFL is certainly justified. The expectation for him has risen, but is there a chance he could be on a historic pace in 2024?

Could CeeDee Lamb break the NFL receiving yards record?

Lamb’s trajectory is pointing straight up as the budding superstar has seen his production, and confidence, grow every year since entering the league. At one point, there were questions about whether Lamb was a true No. 1 WR, and while that has been answered emphatically, the expectations have changed mightily since.

Fresh off a season in which he finished with 135 receptions and 1,749 receiving yards, the question is no longer about his ability to be a No. 1 guy, but whether he can be the No. 1 guy in the record books.

The most receiving yards ever recorded in a season belongs to Detroit Lions legend Calvin Johnson, who finished with 1,964 yards in 2012. From there the record has only been threatened once, by Cooper Kupp in 2021, falling just 18 yards short of the feat.

While Lamb would benefit from an extra regular-season game that Johnson did not have, if he could break the record in 2024 it would still be worthy of respect and admiration. 116 yards per game is what it would take, and if he can average that throughout the season, it is a feat worth praising.

Looking back at Lamb’s 2023 season he fell short 215 yards from the mark, and while it is a sizable margin, especially given the extra week— it isn’t completely out of reach either. For starters, it’s only an additional 13 yards more per game, a reasonable feat to consider.

Additionally, there were several occasions that season where the Cowboys had a game well in hand and pulled their starters with at least a quarter or more left in the action leaving a lot of meat on the statistical bone.

The mark may fall short in importance to wins and playoff success, and with the extra game added it may receive an asterisk next to it for some analysts. Either way, if Lamb can break or threaten the record again, it likely signals something good for the Cowboys and their offense.

What say you BTB—do you think Lamb can break the record?


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