2026 Cowboys preseason: These stats are becoming hard to ignore
The preseason is a cracked and murky crystal ball from which everybody is trying to divine some meaning, even though making any type of predictions based on preseason results is largely a hit-and-miss affair.
We all know that preseason performance is a notoriously fickle indicator of regular-season performance. The 2008 Lions are the best example of that, going 4-0 in the preseason and ending up 0-16 in the regular season. In 2014, the Cowboys also famously went 0-4 in the preseason and still ended up tied for the best record in the league with 12-4.
But that’s not going to stop us from reviewing some key stats and their development over the first two preseason games.
Starts, Snaps counts, Risers & Fallers
Even in preseason games in which the Cowboys sit almost all of their presumptive regular season starters, somebody still has to start, which effectively already establishes two tiers among the backups: Starters and subs.
And now that we’re two games into the preseason, we even have a second separator: players marked in blue in the table below have now started two preseason games, players in green were promoted to starters in week 2, and players marked in yellow lost their week 1 starting spot.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Cowboys’ offensive snap count vs Cardinals | |||||||||||
| OL | WR | TE | RB | QB | |||||||
| Tier | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | |
| Starters | D. Shelton | 55 | T. Johnson | 38 | L.Schoonmaker | 8 | M.Davis | 14 | J.Milton | 31 | |
| T.Keegan | 53 | C.Brown | 28 | ||||||||
| N.Leverett | 53 | J.Mingo | 18 | ||||||||
| A.Cornelius | 53 | ||||||||||
| N.Thomas | 31 | ||||||||||
| Subs | S.Gutierrez | 30 | M.Valdes-S. | 23 | Z.Kuntz | 43 | J.Blue | 27 | S.Howell | 28 | |
| C.Glaser | 10 | A.Smith | 22 | I.Abanikanda | 15 | ||||||
| D.Wingfield | 6 | J.Hudson | 18 | Mafah | 3 | ||||||
| M.Johnson | 6 | D.Mims | 17 | ||||||||
| S.Pete | 6 | J. Smith | 13 | ||||||||
| Legend | Blue: 2 Preseason starts | Green: Promoted to starter Wk 2 | Yellow: Demoted to sub in Wk 2 | ||||||||
So what we see here is that the starting O-line from last week was largely back. T.J. Bass did not play at all and was replaced by Nick Leverett, who got his first preseason start.
Lots of movement at WR where only Jonathan Mingo kept his starting spot. Tyler Johnson and Camden Brown were promoted to starters, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Anthony Smith had to take a step back.
At TE, Luke Schoonmaker defaulted as the starter, as the Cowboys played with just two tight ends the whole game. Malik Davis got the nod over Jaydon Blue at RB, as did Joe Milton at QB over Sam Howell.
In addition to the snap counts, we can also look at the PFF grades for the top and bottom guys.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Top 10 PFF Grades, Offense vs ARI | |||||||||||
| Player | POS | Grade | |||||||||
| Jonathan Mingo | WR | 91.1 | |||||||||
| Joe Milton III | QB | 86.2 | |||||||||
| Ajani Cornelius | RG | 83.5 | |||||||||
| Luke Schoonmaker | TE | 81.8 | |||||||||
| Trevor Keegan | OG | 81.0 | |||||||||
| Israel Abanikanda | RB | 76.0 | |||||||||
| Marcellus Johnson | RT | 75.9 | |||||||||
| Nick Leverett | OC | 74.1 | |||||||||
| Phil Mafah | RB | 71.0 | |||||||||
| Camden Brown | WR | 70.5 | |||||||||
| Bottom 5 PFF Grades, Offense | |||||||||||
| DJ Wingfield | RT | 54.4 | |||||||||
| Tyler Johnson | WR | 54.1 | |||||||||
| Sebastian Gutierrez | RT | 51.9 | |||||||||
| Shiyazh Pete | LT | 44.5 | |||||||||
| Drew Shelton | LT | 28.9 | |||||||||
The conclusions here are that the running backs had a good night and that four O-line backups looked good, but that problems remain at left tackle depth and overall consistency across the backup O-line.
On to the defense, where only five week 1 starters returned as starters in week 2.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Cowboys’ defensive snap count vs Cardinals | |||||||||||
| DT | OLB | ILB | CB | Safety | |||||||
| Tier | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | Player | Snaps | |
| Starters | J.Toia | 34 | J. Houston | 18 | J. Barham | 22 | S.Revel | 5 | J.Wood | 46 | |
| LT Overton | 21 | M.Lawrence | 5 | S.James | 19 | D.Kendrick | 35 | A.Clark | 49 | ||
| A.Speed | 28 | ||||||||||
| Subs | T.Dunn | 31 | S.Williams | 32 | J. Barron | 48 | R.Steward | 45 | |||
| DJ Withers | 30 | M.Liufau | 28 | C. Robinson | 27 | T.Bridges | 31 | ||||
| A.Odeleye | 20 | I.Land | 25 | L. Patterson | 14 | C.Carson | 28 | ||||
| T. Wheat | 22 | D.Moore | 20 | ||||||||
| J.Butler | 18 | ||||||||||
| Z.Childress | 14 | ||||||||||
| Legend | Blue: 2 Preseason starts | Green: Promoted to starter Wk 2 | Yellow: Demoted to sub in Wk 2 | ||||||||
Caleb Downs and P.J. Locke didn’t play against the Cardinals, so their starting spots were up for grabs. Four other players “lost” their week 1 starting jobs (D.J. Withers, Marist Liufau, Curtis Robinson, and Caelen Carson) and in their stead, James Houston, Jaishawn Barham, Derion Kendrick, Ameer Speed, Julius Wood, and Alijah Clark were promoted to starters.
The top and bottom PFF Grades don’t necessarily reflect those movements.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Top 10 PFF Grades, Defense vs ARI | |||||||||||
| Player | POS | Grade | |||||||||
| Jaishawn Barham | OLB/ILB | 90.1 | |||||||||
| Tyrus Wheat | DT | 78.1 | |||||||||
| Caelen Carson | CB | 76.4 | |||||||||
| Julius Wood | S | 75.5 | |||||||||
| Sam Williams | OLB | 72.6 | |||||||||
| Ameer Speed | CB | 70.9 | |||||||||
| Malachi Lawrence | OLB | 67.2 | |||||||||
| Justin Barron | LB | 66.0 | |||||||||
| Zion Childress | S | 65.2 | |||||||||
| Derion Kendrick | CB | 64.1 | |||||||||
| Bottom 5 PFF Grades, Defense | |||||||||||
| Shavon Revel | CB | 46.1 | |||||||||
| Curtis Robinson | LB | 37.8 | |||||||||
| Adedayo Odeleye | DT | 32.8 | |||||||||
| Jay Toia | DT | 30.3 | |||||||||
| James Houston | OLB | 27.0 | |||||||||
Jaishawn Barham had a strong day, as did the two safeties along with Sam Williams and Malachi Lawrence coming off the edge. Shavon Revel, despite his interception, ranked quite low, and James Houston also doesn’t look great in this table.
PFF Cowboys Rookie Preseason Grades
Here’s how the Cowboys rookies were graded across the two games.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Cowboys Rookie PFF Grades | |||||||||||
| Player | POS | Week 1 | Week 2 | ||||||||
| Jaishawn Barham | OLB/ILB | – – | 90.1 | ||||||||
| Camden Brown | WR | 91.5 | 70.5 | ||||||||
| Malachi Lawrence | OLB | 80.1 | 67.2 | ||||||||
| D.J. Withers | DT | 56.9 | 62.5 | ||||||||
| Anthony Smith | WR | 55.8 | 62.3 | ||||||||
| Langston Patterson | LB | 55.3 | 62.2 | ||||||||
| Jordan Hudson | WR | 68.9 | 61.4 | ||||||||
| LT Overton | DT | 60.1 | 61.1 | ||||||||
| DJ Wingfield | OL | 75.6 | 54.4 | ||||||||
| Tommy Dunn | DT | 61.1 | 49.0 | ||||||||
| Devin Moore | CB | – – | 48.6 | ||||||||
| Shiyazh Pete | LT | 68.2 | 44.5 | ||||||||
| Drew Shelton | LT | 48.5 | 28.9 | ||||||||
| Caleb Downs | DB | 63.2 | – – | ||||||||
| Michael Trigg | TE | 60.2 | – – | ||||||||
| Kelvin Gilliam | DT | 57.6 | – – | ||||||||
| DJ Rogers | TE | 24.3 | – – | ||||||||
All eyes were on Jaishawn Barham, and he lived up to his training camp accolades with the highest rookie grade in week 2. Overall though, week 2 was a bit of a damper for the rookie class. Only D.J. Withers, Anthony Smith, Langston Patterson, and LT Overton improved their grades versus week 1.
Top 10 preseason grades
Context always matters with these grades, and just comparing them internally against teammates may not always value some of the better grades properly.
The following table lists all Cowboys players that rank within the top 10 at their position after two weeks of preseason, ranked by their total offensive or defensive grade.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Cowboys players ranked within Top 10 of their position groups | |||||||||||
| Position | Min. requirement | Player | PFF Grade | NFL Rank | |||||||
| Offense | |||||||||||
| QB | (min 25 snaps) | Joe Milton III | 80.5 | 3 | |||||||
| WR | (min 5 targets) | Jonathan Mingo | 90.5 | 3 | |||||||
| (min 5 targets) | Camden Brown | 89.7 | 5 | ||||||||
| TE | (min 5 targets) | — | — | — | |||||||
| RB | (min 15 snaps) | Israel Abanikanda | 71.7 | 5 | |||||||
| OG | (min 35 snaps) | Ajani Cornelius | 84.2 | 2 | |||||||
| OG | (min 35 snaps) | Trevor Keegan | 82.2 | 10 | |||||||
| OC | (min 35 snaps) | Nick Leverett | 74.6 | 4 | |||||||
| Defense | |||||||||||
| DI | (min 15 snaps) | — | — | — | |||||||
| Edge | (min 15 snaps) | Jaishawn Barham | 90.1 | 3 | |||||||
| LB | (min 15 snaps) | — | — | — | |||||||
| Safety | (min 15 snaps) | Julius Wood | 83.0 | 9 | |||||||
That’s a total of nine players ranked within the Top 10 of their position groups, which is not bad, and suggests the Cowboys do have some quality backups in their line up. The list is a bit skewed in favor of the offense, which suggests the depth there may be better than on defense. Also note the positions at which the Cowboys don’t have any players in the Top 10; these may arguably be the weakest positions in terms of backup quality.
Defensive passer rating
The Cowboys started the preseason by allowing a defensive passer rating (DPR) of just 88.6 against the Seahawks. That was almost 12 points lower than what they allowed in last year’s preseason opener, but more importantly, it was lower than what the team allowed in all but one of its regular-season games last year.
Against the Cardinals, the DPR improved further to 75.3. The Cowboys allowed a 109.6 defensive passer rating in 2025, the worst mark in the league. Sunday’s 75.3 rating is 34.3 points lower than last year’s average and would have ranked the Cowboys second in the league last season.
The Cardinals posted a 130.6 passer rating in their first two preseason games and came into Sunday night boasting of their 50-of-59 passing. The Cowboys largely put a stop to all that. Two games of preseason data suggest that what we’re seeing could be real and not just random noise. We’ll see.
YPRR for Cowboys Receivers
Yards Per Route Run (YPRR) is a football metric that measures a pass catcher’s efficiency by dividing their total receiving yards by the number of passing routes they ran, essentially giving us the average number of receiving yards a player makes every time he runs a route.
We looked at the metric in great detail this offseason, go to this post if you need more info.
Here’s the YPRR for both preseason games.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Yards per Route Run, Weeks 1-2 | |||||||||||
| POS | Player | Routes | Yards | YPRR | |||||||
| WR | Camden Brown | 27 | 139 | 5.15 | |||||||
| Jonathan Mingo | 16 | 82 | 5.13 | ||||||||
| Anthony Smith | 31 | 46 | 1.48 | ||||||||
| Tyler Johnson | 21 | 28 | 1.33 | ||||||||
| Jordan Hudson | 26 | 23 | 0.88 | ||||||||
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 16 | 14 | 0.88 | ||||||||
| Jaden Smith | 10 | 0 | 0.00 | ||||||||
| Denzel Mims | 9 | -1 | -0.11 | ||||||||
| TE | Luke Schoonmaker | 5 | 19 | 3.80 | |||||||
| Michael Trigg | 18 | 30 | 1.67 | ||||||||
| Zack Kuntz | 23 | 34 | 1.48 | ||||||||
| DJ Rogers | 9 | 2 | 0.22 | ||||||||
| RB | Malik Davis | 7 | 8 | 1.14 | |||||||
| Jaydon Blue | 18 | 15 | 0.83 | ||||||||
| Phil Mafah | 9 | 6 | 0.67 | ||||||||
| Israel Abanikanda | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | ||||||||
As usual, beware the small sample sizes. And yes, it’s just two preseason games, it’s a bunch of second- and third-teamers, preseason stats don’t mean anything, yada, yada, yada.
Still, the table shows that Camden Brown and Jonathan Mingo are creating clear separation across the two weeks at the wide receiver position. Over a full regular season, a YPRR of ≥ 2.0 is considered elite, generally indicating a top-tier wide receiver. It’s the preseason, so things are a bit different, but these are highly encouraging numbers anyway, also considering that Brown and Mingo rank 10th and 11th respectively among all wide receivers this preseason.
Luke Schoonmaker’s 3.80 also looks great, but the small sample caveat applies.
At RB, it’s a bit discouraging not to have a back that is effective and being utilized to run routes.
Hidden yardage
Bill Parcells used to say that a 100-yard advantage in field position (the sum of starting field positions on all drives), or “hidden yardage,” was worth seven points. Brian Schottenheimer recently also talked about penalty differential as “hidden yards”, so here’s a look at the hidden yardage and penalty differential across the two preseason games:
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| 2026 Presason Hidden Yards & Penalty Differential | |||||||||||
| Metric | vs Seahawks | vs Cardinals | |||||||||
| Hidden Yardage differential | -200 | +101 | |||||||||
| Penalty Differential | -32 | +43 | |||||||||
| Total | -232 | +144 | |||||||||
In week 1, the Seahawks special teams unit clearly outplayed the Cowboys’ unit, and special teams got some very special attention in practice last week. The results versus the Cardinals improved, with the Cowboys recording a sum of starting field positions of 351 yards, while the Cardinals only managed 250, an advantage of +101 yards for the Cowboys.
The overall hidden-yardage number improved dramatically, but the improvement wasn’t primarily about special teams but more about the defense. Shavon Revel’s interception delivered 88 hidden yards, and the turnover on downs on Arizona’s second-last drive accounted for 62 hidden yards. That’s a combined 150 hidden yards generated by the defense, which still leaves a lot of room for improvement on special teams, especially in the return game.
More encouraging is the positive penalty differential, though knowing the Cowboys, that might not last very long.
Passer Rating Differential
We’ve repeatedly shown that passer rating differential is one of the stats most closely linked to winning in the NFL. The Cowboys already have a top ten passing offense, so there isn’t really that much room for improving the passer rating differential via the offense. That leaves the defense.
If the Cowboys are going to make the playoffs in 2026, an improved passer rating differential will be a big part of the equation. Don’t trust anybody who tells you otherwise.
And across two preseason games, for whatever it’s worth, the numbers look good.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| 2026 Preseason Passer Rating Differential | |||||||||||
| Metric | vs Seahawks | vs Cardinals | 2-game Total | ||||||||
| Offensive Passer Rating | 119.5 | 115.1 | 117.5 | ||||||||
| Defensive Passer Rating | 88.6 | 75.3 | 80.8 | ||||||||
| Passer Rating differential | +30.9 | +39.8 | +36.7 | ||||||||
By itself, the +36.7 looks impressive, but doesn’t mean much. But if you compare it to last year’s league standings, that number provides a lot of hope for the season ahead.
Last year, the 14 playoff teams all ranked within the top 17 teams in Passer Rating Differential (PRD). The table below shows those 14 playoff teams (marked in green) and where they rank relative to the non-playoff teams.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| 2025 Regular Season Passer Rating Differential | |||||||||||
| Rk | Tm | OPR | DPR | PRD | Rk | Tm | OPR | DPR | PRD | ||
| 1 | Bills | 102.1 | 79.8 | 22.3 | 18 | Falcons | 85.3 | 88.4 | -3.1 | ||
| 2 | Rams | 108.0 | 87.0 | 21.0 | 19 | Saints | 86.6 | 91.8 | -5.2 | ||
| 3 | Eagles | 94.7 | 75.4 | 19.3 | 20 | Chiefs | 84.4 | 89.9 | -5.5 | ||
| 4 | Seahawks | 96.3 | 77.9 | 18.4 | 21 | Cardinals | 90.1 | 97.6 | -7.5 | ||
| 5 | Patriots | 111.3 | 93.1 | 18.2 | 22 | Giants | 86.2 | 94.3 | -8.1 | ||
| 6 | Chargers | 87.2 | 75.0 | 12.2 | 23 | Buccaneers | 88.0 | 97.5 | -9.5 | ||
| 7 | Texans | 88.0 | 76.2 | 11.8 | 24 | Bengals | 89.5 | 99.4 | -9.9 | ||
| 8 | Lions | 103.6 | 92.5 | 11.1 | 25 | Cowboys | 96.8 | 109.6 | -12.8 | ||
| 9 | Jaguars | 89.3 | 78.5 | 10.8 | 26 | Vikings | 72.1 | 86.0 | -13.9 | ||
| 10 | Broncos | 86.8 | 78.7 | 8.1 | 27 | Raiders | 77.7 | 96.4 | -18.7 | ||
| 11 | Packers | 100.6 | 92.7 | 7.9 | 28 | Dolphins | 85.1 | 105.3 | -20.2 | ||
| 12 | Ravens | 93.8 | 89.6 | 4.2 | 29 | Commanders | 83.7 | 104.0 | -20.3 | ||
| 13 | Colts | 91.0 | 88.0 | 3.0 | 30 | Browns | 67.4 | 90.0 | -22.6 | ||
| 14 | Steelers | 92.4 | 92.2 | 0.2 | 31 | Titans | 75.4 | 108.3 | -32.9 | ||
| 15 | Bears | 89.5 | 91.4 | -1.9 | 32 | Jets | 71.6 | 110.9 | -39.3 | ||
| 16 | Panthers | 85.8 | 88.2 | -2.4 | |||||||
| 17 | 49ers | 97.6 | 100.5 | -2.9 | |||||||
Last year the Cowboys ranked 25th with a PRD of -12.8. The +36.7 from the two preseason games would have ranked them a clear No. 1 last year and almost certainly put them in the playoff picture – and maybe more. Can the 2026 Cowboys carry their preseason PRD to the regular season? Their season hinges on it.
Preseason Passer Rating Leader
Just leaving this here for your reading pleasure.
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